Felix Auger-Aliassime, the Canadian tennis star, saw his Hamburg Open campaign come to an end in the semifinals, losing to Andrey Rublev in a straight-sets match (6-1, 6-4). This defeat marks Auger-Aliassime's seventh loss against Rublev, leaving his head-to-head record at a disheartening 1-7. Despite serving five aces without a single double fault, Auger-Aliassime struggled, winning only 38% of his second-serve points and failing to capitalize on his lone break opportunity. This setback concludes his final clay-court preparation before the French Open, where he is seeded 29th and will face Matteo Arnaldi in the first round. His run in Hamburg represented his first three clay-court wins of the season after withdrawing from the Italian Open due to a back injury. The match highlights Rublev's dominance, setting the stage for his final showdown against Flavio Cobolli.
The Hamburg Open final will pit Andrey Rublev against Flavio Cobolli in a highly anticipated clash. Rublev, a dominant force on clay with an impressive 61.1% win rate (11-7 record on red clay), is aiming for his second title of the year, following his win in Doha. His consistent performance, evident in reaching the Hamburg final for the third time and securing his 350th tour-level win against Auger-Aliassime, positions him as a strong favorite. Rublev's consistent performance and impressive win rate on clay make him a formidable contender for the Hamburg Open title and a strong player to watch at Roland Garros. This victory against Auger-Aliassime is particularly significant, marking a milestone in his career.
Meanwhile, Cobolli, despite a challenging second set in the semifinals where he was down 5-4, showcased resilience to reach his second career ATP 500 final. His journey included impressive upsets over seeded players like Karen Khachanov and Roberto Bautista Agut. He already secured an ATP Tour singles title this year at the 2025 Romanian Open. This match will be the first encounter between Rublev and Cobolli, promising a captivating new rivalry. While Cobolli’s “giant-killer” potential and baseline hitting pose a threat, Rublev’s experience and dominance on clay suggest a strong likelihood of a Rublev victory, potentially in three sets. The clash between Rublev's experience and Cobolli's "giant-killer" potential promises an exciting final, though Rublev's superior clay-court record positions him as the likely winner. The betting odds heavily favor Rublev (-250) over Cobolli (+200), reflecting the experts' assessment of the matchup.
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